Brown Poll Shows Raimondo Leading Taveras Among Likely Democratic Voters

Oct 9, 2013

With 11 months until Rhode Island's Democratic gubernatorial primary next September, a new Brown University poll shows state Treasurer Gina Raimondo with an eight percentage point lead over Providence Mayor Angel Taveras.

The survey of 433 likely Democratic primary voters has a 4.5 percentage point margin of error, and it shows Raimondo with 42 percent of the support, Taveras with 33.6 percent, while 24.4 percent of respondents remain undecided.

Taveras, however, still has the best approval rating among Rhode Island elected officials (63.9 percent, down from 65.6 percent a year ago), compared with an approval rating of 54.2 percent for Raimondo (down from 58.7 percent last year).

The Brown poll comes a few weeks after Taveras' campaign organization says a poll it commissioned showed Taveras with an 19 point lead over Raimondo. Via statement, Taveras' fundraiser, Peter Baptista, says, "We stand by the poll we released. The methodology is solid. Mayor Taveras is focused on delivering for working people in RI." 

Raimondo spokeswoman Joy Fox said, "The Treasurer’s office will not comment on polls. We will continue to concentrate on our work in Treasury, and deliver results for Rhode Islanders."

Brown found the strongest support for Raimondo among independents (45.7 percent, compared with 31.2 percent for Taveras), The poll shows Raimondo leading Taveras among Democrats, 40.5 percent to 38.7 percent. Raimondo has more support with men (44.8 percent, compared with 31.8 percent for Taveras) than women (39.6 percent, compared with 35.1 percent for Taveras).

Taveras and Raimondo have yet to announce their plans for 2014.

Other findings from Brown:

-- Taveras leads expected Republican gubernatorial candidate Allan Fung, 41.5 percent to 32.9 percent, with 25.6 percent of respondents undecided. MOE for the non-Democratic primary matchups is 3.9 percentage points.

-- In a four-way comparison, Raimondo gets 27.3 percent of the support, Taveras 20.7 percent, Fung 19 percent, and Moderate Ken Block 9 percent. Undecided places second with 24 percent.

-- Governor Lincoln Chafee's approval rating in Brown polls has fallen over the last year from 28.5 percent to 23 percent.

-- Senator Jack Reed is the only RI pol besides Raimondo and Taveras with an approval rating over 50 percent (51.6 percent, down from 57.5 percent a year ago).

-- Just over 62 percent of respondents say Rhode Island is on the wrong track.

This post has been updated.